Shell-led LNG project bucks trend by not waiting for buyers
NEW YORK and VANCOUVER (Bloomberg) -- The developers of a C$40-billion ($31-billion) project to export Canadian natural gas are taking on a bold strategy: build now and worry about buyers later.
After a decade of planning and negotiations, Royal Dutch Shell and four partners gave their formal approval to build the gas-liquefaction and export terminal in British Columbia, according to a statement late Monday local time. The super-chilled fuel that’s produced will be divided up among the partners, who will each be free to sell it however and to whomever they please, according to Andy Calitz, CEO of the joint venture, LNG Canada.
That this gas-export project achieved the key milestone known as final investment decision, or FID, without committing all or most of its output to 15- or 20-year supply contracts is a major departure. From Australia to Africa, LNG developments typically have been underpinned by long-term sales contracts to minimize financial risk on multibillion-dollar investments that can take half a decade or longer to construct.
“What you are essentially seeing is speculative development, of using a model that has not been traditionally the model for developing big LNG projects in the past,” said Jason Feer, head of business intelligence at Poten & Partners Inc. “Most LNG projects that went to FID had pre-sold a significant percentage of their output via long-term contracts.”
Shell commands the biggest stake in LNG Canada at 40%, with Malaysian oil giant Petroliam Nasional owning 25%. Mitsubishi and PetroChina each own 15%, respectively, while the remaining 5% is held by Korea Gas.
Canada gained an edge over the U.S. LNG sector after China slapped tariffs on American gas last month. Canadian producers also hold a geographic advantage because it’s an eight-day tanker journey from British Columbia to Tokyo, versus 20 days at sea for Louisiana cargoes.
Western Canada “is closer to 75% of the global LNG market in Asia than any other non-Asian supplier,” Madeline Jowdy, senior director of global gas and LNG at S&P Global Platts in New York, said in an email.
