KG basin will play crucial role in India natural gas move
LONDON -- At a time when production at traditional offshore assets on the west coast is set to decline over the next decade, the upcoming deepwater and ultra-deepwater projects in the Krishna-Godavari (KG) basin at the Bay of Bengal will play a crucial role in India’s move towards a natural gas-based economy, says GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company.
The company forecasts India’s domestic natural gas production to grow by 67% to approximately 6,000 MMcfgd in 2023, of which the upcoming deepwater and ultra-deepwater projects in the KG basin will account for 2,000 MMcfgd.
Cao Chai, oil and gas analyst at GlobalData, says, “A number of factors is driving the growth of the deepwater sector in India. The government plans to move the country towards a natural gas-based economy, therefore increasing domestic supply is crucial to meeting the rising energy demand. The government has also introduced a natural gas pricing policy to allow the marketing and pricing freedom for challenging high pressure/high temperature, deepwater and ultra-deepwater projects.”
The price ceiling for these projects has been raised from $6.17/mcf in 2016, when it was introduced, to $6.62/mcf in 2018, allowing companies to make stronger investment cases for these complex developments. Gas price for other fields rose from $3.11/mcf to $5.43/mcf during the same period.
The commerciality of India’s deepwater and ultra-deepwater developments has been positively affected by the continuing low costs in the service sector. Cheaper drilling contracts, subsea production systems, and associated facilities saw field development costs reduced by at least 20%, compared to the initial estimation.
These cost reductions are not only opening up new exploration and development opportunities in a relatively underdeveloped region, but are also very important toward creating value from the projects.
Chai concludes, “Success of the deepwater developments will establish the KG basin as one of India’s most important areas, a major shift from ONGC’s traditional offshore assets on the west coast, where the production is set to decline over the next decade. Upcoming KG basin projects are expected to address India’s rising energy demand especially the natural gas needs and reduce the country’s dependency on imports by 10% in 2023.”
