OPEC oil output cuts remain unfinished following April’s “steady” crude production

Grant Smith, Julian Lee and Bill Lehane, Bloomberg May 01, 2024

(Bloomberg) – OPEC’s crude production stayed steady last month, leaving the group’s latest cutbacks incomplete.

OPEC pumped 26.81 MMbpd in April, about 50,000 bpd less than the previous month, according to a Bloomberg survey. Minor increases by Libya and Iraq were offset by reductions in Iran and Nigeria.

As a result, production curbs agreed by the group and its allies at the start of the year to avert a surplus are still unfinished. Iraq and the United Arab Emirates continue to pump several hundred thousand barrels a day above their agreed limits.

Nonetheless, production restraints by others in the alliance — such as Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Algeria — have helped buoy oil prices against a fragile economic backdrop, bolstering revenue for its members. Brent futures traded near $85 a barrel in London on Wednesday.

The biggest change last month was in Libya, which increased by 60,000 bpd to 1.19 MMbpd while it restored production halted earlier this year by protests at its largest oil field. The North African nation is exempt from OPEC+ targets while its oil industry remains severely damaged by years of internal conflict.

Iraq’s production rose modestly to 4.22 MMbpd, or about 220,000 bpd above its OPEC+ target. Baghdad has promised to make additional cutbacks in compensation, along with fellow errant alliance member Kazakhstan, but has often flouted quotas as it seeks revenues to rebuild a shattered economy.

Iran and Nigeria each pared supplies by 50,000 bpd to 3.13 MMbpd and 1.42 MMbpd respectively, according to the survey. Group leader Saudi Arabia remained stable at about 9 MMbpd.

The 22-nation OPEC+ alliance — which spans other producers such as Russia — is due to meet on June 1 to decide whether to extend its current production curbs into the second half of the year.

Bloomberg’s survey is based on ship-tracking data, information from officials and estimates from consultants, including Kpler Ltd., Rapidan Energy Group and Rystad Energy A/S.

Connect with World Oil
Connect with World Oil, the upstream industry's most trusted source of forecast data, industry trends, and insights into operational and technological advances.